null - Page 9
Page 9 of 8410 FirstFirst ... 78910 LastLast
Results 81 to 90 of 93

Thread: null

  1. #81
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    Drop Offs Balance Points We've Got a problem... a birthday problem. As you move through each day of the calendar year, the number of choices remaining for that person's birthday falls, and the probabilities adjust accordingly. Let's envision a ball. 50% of the time that it goes 50 feet. 75 percent of the time that it goes 100 feet. 87.5 percent of the time that it goes 200 feet 93.5 percent of the time that it goes 400 feet. Now imagine we're trying to estimate how far the next ball will travel in...
    Excellent excuse. That is exactly the problem with the subsequence problem from EURUSDD. Although you will see at least among the 4 conditions fulfilled 93.75 percent of the time, the probability of P(fulfilled with 5th nmber|not yet fulfilled with the 4th number) remains 0.52 ...

  2. #82
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    quote This is called conditional probability and imho, EURUSDD's handling of chance left a lot to be desired. This is a similar issue since Gambler's falacy.
    Yeah in some ways his benefit of using the gambler's fallacy wasn't good, but in other ways, I believe it has a valid purpose.

    Consider the true TZ's. (not fractal zones)

    in case you've got one PTZ form, and another PTZ form the candle afterwards, it is sort of like watching two coins flipping in the air in the same time rather than waiting for the very first to property before flipping the second. The first one has not landed yet(verified) so the probabilities have not dropped off however if this is reasonable.

  3. #83
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    quote This is called conditional probability and imho, EURUSDD's managing of probability left a lot to be desired. That is a similar issue since Gambler's falacy.
    Yes, I know that. And I am only among a few that really analyzed his egies (I have not read anywhere that someone did the same tests and faced EURUSDD with hard statistical truth; it is really very funny how a man with a math degree can make these errors ...). At least the subsequence theorem is crap! And zones don't have a higher likelihood of being hit than any other prize. It is just hit because the market is recurrent most of the time.

  4. #84
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    quote Yeah in some ways his encouragement of employing the gambler's fallacy wasn't great, but in different ways, I think it has a valid purpose. Think about the true TZ's. (not fractal zones) should you have one PTZ form, and another PTZ form the candle after, it is sort of like watching two coins flipping in the air in the exact same time instead of waiting for the very first to land prior to turning the next. The first one has not landed yet(confirmed) therefore the probabilities have not dropped off yet if that is reasonable.
    When you have one PTZ and another forming the candle after, you don't have independent occasions (unlike two coins toss in the atmosphere simultaneously) so it is different. This depends on the correlation between two events (as you have noted in one of your correlation articles in other thread)

  5. #85
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    quote For those who have one PTZ and another forming the candle after, you don't have independent events (unlike two coins throw in the atmosphere simultaneously) so it is not the same. This now depends on the correlation between two events (as you have noted in one of the correlation posts in other thread)
    Yeah, I'd need to verify, but I'd be willing to wager they aren't entirely dependent since candles themselves aren't dependent and the entire assumption in the TZ equation is that candles are random or independent.

  6. #86
    Very conversation.

    Really intriguing to see that the person who lived under the Jim Crow legislation and needed to pick cotton doesn't think there's any systematic racism today while the man who has never lived at a time where there are laws on the books affording other races faith that blacks do not get (and in fact, together with affirmative action, the opposite is true) says there's systematic racism oppressing black people today.



    Edward Bernay's brilliant work with social engineering is definitely at play here.

  7. #87
    Just How Many Flips Are Needed to Tell If a Coin is Weighted?

    Here is an excellent research paper I read lately I wished to spare here if others find it useful. This is by the same man who did the study in this informative article.

    It's looking at how many flips you think are necessary before you can differentiate a 60/40 coin out of a 50/50 coin.

    Talks about some other interesting things too.

    https://www.forexforum.co.za/attachm...6567227700.pdf

  8. #88
    Professional Returns

    Perhaps you have wondered what the returns of authentic professionals are like?

    The number of days a year do these companies eliminate money, and just how much can they lose when they do?

    The number of days a year do these companies make money, and just how much can they make when they do?

    A simple google search for a public companies 10K will inform you!

    and the results are amazing.

    Here is some information from Goldman Sachs 10K forms for the last few years:

    2016


    2015


    2014


    2013


    Really amazing things...

    These forms are HUGE and contain a lot of other data ( most not helpful, but a decent number of helpful stuff).

  9. #89
    How many Madonnas can that Mazda fit? ...

    ... The date I ceased still has an asterisk after it...

    Woo!

    They sell high...

    I buy high...

    They buy higher...

    I buy higher...

    and maintain buying...

    all of the way up!


  10. #90


    Among the best soundtracks to code to.

    Return into a market price/structure stuff.



    #dataporn

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
This website uses cookies
We use cookies to store session information to facilitate remembering your login information, to allow you to save website preferences, to personalise content and ads, to provide social media features and to analyse our traffic. We also share information about your use of our site with our social media, advertising and analytics partners.