My forward test log
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Thread: My forward test log

  1. #1
    I'll be posting my log of forward testing a system on the EURUSD daily here. One trade every day, every day (about 90 percent of the period ). I am not trading this with real money or even fake money, it's just a log. I'll probably tweak the system over the course of this thread, and it may not work at all. But I will try to keep it upgraded.

    Thus, first one:
    Sell EURUSD at 1.2833
    No stop loss because I haven't invented a formula for you yet.
    No target yet (see above explanation)
    Close in 24 hours


    ****YOU SHOULD NOT TRADE THIS PREDICTION BECAUSE I AM NOT EVEN PUTTING MY OWN MONEY ON IT AND IT'S MY SYSTEM. Don't PLACE A TRADE OFF OF THIS INFORMATION. IF YOU DO, It's AT YOUR OWN RISK. ****

    Sorry to type in all caps, but I have to pay myself

    I will be back tomorrow,

  2. #2
    I know I'm going to have to include at least a trailing stop to this particular system sometime in the near future. Could anybody help me out with this? Again, I'm trading one trade every day for a single day's length. Any help is appreciated.

  3. #3
    Yesterday's commerce was powerful for one lousy pip. It's clear that I want some sort of monitoring stop implemented, as I was 46 pips at the same point today.

    No official place for tomorrow, my indiors have been indecisive at the moment. My system is leaning toward sell, but there's not any official place for tomorrow.

    Total pips to date: 17
    Accuracy: 2/2 100%

    ****YOU SHOULD NOT TRADE THIS PREDICTION BECAUSE I AM NOT EVEN PUTTING MY OWN MONEY ON IT AND IT'S MY SYSTEM. Don't PLACE A TRADE OFF OF THIS INFORMATION. IF YOU DO, It's AT YOUR OWN RISK. ****

    Sorry to type in all caps, but I Need to cover myself

    I will be back ,

  4. #4
    Wow, just woke up and found that the EURUSD from the 1.2730s! Should have executed on that signal I got, but my indiors have been indecisive, but for the record, allow me to quote myself:

    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    My machine is leaning toward sell,
    Hey, I missed out on a fantastic trade, but I learned more about my system, and exercised a tiny self-discipline. It's not a moment that is bad.

  5. #5
    Ok, now's trade, if I'd have acted on the (uncertain) signal, would have banked 89 pips. #%$#!!! I need to review how this alters how I translate my signals, so I will not place a position for tonight. I am in the midst of trying to code this to an EA, so hopefully I can get that done pretty soon. I am going to take off tomorrow, and backtest some over the weekend. I'll post the results here as they're available.

    Again, no official place for tonight, however, my signals are leaning towards Sell again.

    This week I created 17 pips on 2 trades that are successful.

    Mistakes this week: Human error price my system a great deal this week. However, it was the very first week, therefore it can only improve from here. My very first signal should happen to be great for 42, but was only great for 16 due to overdue implementation, and some confusion with MT4. The second signal should have implemented a trailing stop, which might have procured 20 or 30 pips, rather than only 1.

    Great news this week: 100 percent precision (although it was only two trades ). Not a lot of motion contrary to my position. For example, in my very first signal, at worst I was -4, along with my second signal at worst was -15, that I guess isn't that great, but it is something to work on. Learned more about the system generally, and modified some of these rules for the better.

    ****YOU SHOULD NOT TRADE THIS PREDICTION BECAUSE I AM NOT EVEN PUTTING MY OWN MONEY ON IT AND IT'S MY SYSTEM. DO NOT PLACE A TRADE OFF OF THIS INFORMATION. IF YOU DO, It's AT YOUR OWN RISK. ****

    Sorry to type in all caps, but I Must cover myself

    I'll be back tomorrow,

  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by ;
    Again, no official place for tonight, but my signals are leaning towards Economy again.
    Wow, another fantastic trade I officially did not take, but my egy was leaning towards. It would have been great for 50 pips, but in all honesty, it had been what I'll call a weak signal. It was a signal, albeit a feeble one.

    I have learned a fantastic deal this week about my system, and that I know what trades are great, feeble, and bad. I truly hope, with your man's help, I will develop this to something good. I am thinking about coding this to an EA to the Automated Trading Championship on the 15th. What do you guys think?

    Note: '' I DO realize this has only been one week of ahead testing. I have looked back and noticed several losing trades. This isn't the Holy Grail, nor do I assert it to be. It is, nevertheless, among the most promising methods I have ever assembled, and with some good MM built into the EA, I believe it might be very successful, both in WinningR and %:R.

    Changes for next week: I am going to force myself to earn a good signal daily, unless my indiors are entirely flat. I'll also post a signal strength value of strong, moderate, or weak with the signal itself. I will attempt to eliminate the human error that cost a fantastic deal of pips this week, and that I shall implement a trailing stop for this particular system (size of that I will ascertain this weekend). I know this is going to be a very long procedure, but I expect to improve it week by week, till I feel confident enough to go live by it.

    See you Sunday,

  7. #7
    I am just going to post my own signal right now since I know what it'll be. This is the next week, and I expect to continue the good rookie perfromance I'd last week.

    So here it is:
    SELL EUR/USD @ 1.2677
    Moderate Confidence

    Analysis:
    I am looking at another down day on Monday, almost textbook signal, although I really do believe we'll hit a bottom this week before the important info release on Friday. I may not release an official signal on Friday because of the very volatile day anticipated.


    ****YOU SHOULD NOT TRADE THIS PREDICTION BECAUSE I AM NOT EVEN PUTTING MY OWN MONEY ON IT AND IT'S MY SYSTEM. Don't PLACE A TRADE OFF OF THIS INFORMATION. IF YOU DO, It's AT YOUR OWN RISK. ****

    Sorry to type in all caps, but I Must cover myself

    I'll return on Monday,

  8. #8
    Ok, in order that commerce was likely among my worst, and vulnerable a kink in my system that needs to be repaired immediately. I ended up 2 pips, shutting out at 1.2670. The issue is whether or not I need to show a sign for the 3 or 4 hour Sunday afternoon in MT4. I profited the 2 in these 3 or 4 hours, but since I forgot that there are two signs on Sunday, I overlooked the change I correctly predicted from 1.2669 into 1.2700 or so. So, I will chalk that up as a minor win, and set the schedule for my signs as follows:
    Sunday - 1 before available, 1 at 00:00 MT4 time
    Monday-Thursday - 1 at 00:00 MT4 time
    This will be six signs weekly, of which the first may be withheld from time to time simply because of the small timeframe by which to work.

    So the sign:
    I believe this change will last for tomorrow, hopefully hitting at least the highs of today (1.2740 area)
    BUY EUR/USD @ 1.2703
    Moderate-High Confidence
    Also, I'm instituting placing a stop at B/E when standing is 20

    ***I don't recommend trading off of the information. These signs are for study purposes only, and some other trade placed from these is at your own risk. ***

    Reunite tomorrow,

  9. #9
    Ok, so the trade end today was not a victory, rising to put our halt to B/E, subsequently falling in hitting the halt. 0 pips. I think that the market will range for the remainder of the week before the figures come out on Friday that will tell which way the market will go.

    I am going on vaion near the end of the week, therefore this is going to be all for this week, since I'll work out some more of the kinks in the system.

    So long, see you next Sunday,

  10. #10
    Ok, yesterday's trade was successful for 16 pips. It should have actually been implemented in 1.2859, but because of my error on when MT4's days begin, I waited too long. But , it had been successful, and I am continuing my Sell position.

    SELL EURUSD @ 1.2817
    Close to 5:00 p.m. pacific tomorrow

    Entire pips so far: 16
    Accuracy: 1/1 100 percent (See how long we can keep up this )

    ****YOU SHOULD NOT TRADE THIS PREDICTION BECAUSE I AM NOT EVEN PUTTING MY OWN MONEY ON IT AND IT'S MY SYSTEM. Don't PLACE A TRADE OFF OF THIS INFORMATION. IF YOU DO, It's AT YOUR OWN RISK. ****

    Sorry to type in all caps, but I Need to pay myself

    I will be back ,

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