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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
If you see it from a very abstract point of view, in your daily life your mind is constantly working with waves, cycles and trends. When you drive your car, your mind anticipates what the other vehicles will do and you decide to change lanes or turn the wheel according to that. When you walk or run, your brain does exactly the same. If someone throws a ball at you, your mind calculates a point in the space where you think it will be and you extend your hand there. Trading in forex is very similar. The difference is that the graph is a two-dimensional representation of a four-dimensional environment. Some focus only on those two dimensions: price and time. Others try to interpret the entire space-time to anticipate that 2D representation. The price is the only real indicator.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Interesting comparison, but you're philosophizing too much.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Your analogy makes sense. Anticipating movement is the key, but many prefer to react late.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
So now we're Einstein with Japanese candles.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
When I understood that the price includes everything, my operation changed completely. Everything else is noise.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Space-time sounds nice, but with a bad SL on, you go just like the quantum well.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Your mind looks for patterns even when there are none. That�s the real danger of trading.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Our brain predicts automatically, and that in the markets can be gold... or ruin.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Your post left me thinking. Is that why sometimes I'm right without knowing why?
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Everything sounds very poetic until the NFP arrives and spoils multidimensional theory.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
I only see green or red candles. If there is space-time, someone come and mark it with Fibonacci.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Thank you for the comments. The idea was to open up a different perspective. Not everything is pure technique.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
I respect you for trying to explain something so complex in such a simple way.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
I don't know if this is trading or Zen philosophy, but it made me reread it twice.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
"Price is the only indicator"... that should be tattooed on the forehead of many gurus.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Finally someone who talks about what's going on inside the trader's head! Everyone wants just magic formulas.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Of course, the price is everything, but don't forget that every price comes with intent, that's the next level.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Good analogy, but beware of over-analyzing. Paralysis by analysis is real.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Sometimes it seems to me that the market is more chaos than cycle, but it still catches me.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Those who say we just have to follow the trend, they don't understand any cycles.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Good contribution, although I doubt many are ready to understand it. Here they only want EAs miraculous.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
What you describe is called trained intuition. With thousands of hours in front of the screen, it develops itself.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
You don't need quantum physics to win in forex. Just good risk management and discipline.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
The problem is that most want to understand the graph as if it were an exact equation. Spoiler: it is not.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Exactly, that's why I compared it to day to day. You don't do calculations, you only act because you've lived it a thousand times.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
That is called implicit experience. The one who is not taught is lived.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Very good approach, but without objective data, everything remains subjective and dangerous.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
The funny thing is, the more you try to understand the market, the less you control it.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
That�s why many end up frustrated. They don�t know when to stop looking for logic where there are only odds.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
I've never seen such a clear explanation of why surgery is so mental.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
In the end, what matters is not being right, but making money.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
I think you're mixing psychology with market analysis, and that's not bad.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
I prefer a profit account to a master's degree in trade philosophy.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Sometimes the most complicated thing is to accept that we don't understand anything and still operate well.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
That post made me question everything I've read in technical analysis books.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
The cycles exist, but you only see them when they're past.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
Maybe you should write a book. It would give a thousand laps to the typical indicator PDFs.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
One thing is to follow trends, another is to understand the pace of the market. They are very different things.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
I act like I'm dancing with the market. Sometimes he guides, sometimes I. If you fall, you lose.
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Re: Waves, Trends and Cycles
I'm glad that the issue has generated reflection. I didn't want to teach anything, just invite people to think differently.