For my grandson

[CesstuSvu]

If you�re my grandson, this goes for you. Opero GU and GJ especially at the opening of Frankfurt and London, with big enough position sizes for you to pay attention. Unfortunately, those times coincide with dinner and drink time in our time zone. And I�ve let that � and other distractions you know well � affect me. But right now I�m going to focus. This is a demo account with four more weeks of validity.

[CesstuSvu]

I screwed up on Friday night. I was cooking, tired, and I thought Thursday's movement would repeat itself. It's never like that, but FOMO could have me. I said to myself, "Tonight I'll take out a few thousand," and I lost $4,000. No stopovers, early entrances in resistance zones, and head at dinner. Luckily I recovered the lost.

[CesstuSvu]

I have a few minutes off and I�m looking at how opportunities might be given tonight. I think we�ll look for a long entry. The diary is in a bearish trend, which implies that the next movement can be up. When, it�s the question. The ATR is around 100, that helps. There are about 250 trading days a year. Half will be bullish and the other bassist. I�ve counted it. The stockings can be fooled. Statistically, after a bullish or bassist day, the probability that the next day will be opposite is 50%. After two days in the same direction, it falls to 25%. We look for reversions, and what matters is where the price will be in 5 minutes, 1 hour or 5 hours.

[CesstuSvu]

And GJ the same way. It usually gives a meager movement at the opening of Tokyo, but we wait for Frankfurt or London.

[CesstuSvu]

I short-entered GJ in the Asian session, just below the round number. Thus it is easier to put a tight stop. You have to break the minimums of day, week and month to make it profitable for us. So far it goes well.

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Better than I expected, I'm going to consider putting the stop on break-even...

[CesstuSvu]

I put the stop in BE. It wouldn�t be uncommon for the price to go up to retest the minimum of the day or the round number and get me out. I increased the TP and I�m going to take a nap...

[CesstuSvu]

GU also falls. USD is the counterpart of GU. I don�t have the DX of JPY. I closed half the position, it�s not usual in me, but you have to evaluate options before and during the operation, not after...

[CesstuSvu]

News helps: 30-year US bond yields fall. �U.S. 30-year yield falls below 2% for the first time since February� (Source: bnnbloomberg.ca

[CesstuSvu]

If I had a squawk box I would have caught the news earlier and maybe I wouldn't have closed half of it, but not having it has its reasons...

[CesstuSvu]

I moved the stop to positive ground.

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The USDX and USDJPY seem to be slowing down. The market is thin at this hour. I�m considering closing this transaction, which was luckier than anything else.

[CesstuSvu]

They pulled me right over the 50 line, all right, no regrets, I'm going back to FO and I'm looking for long tickets.

[CesstuSvu]

I'm not sure enough to operate. Statistics indicate that reversals usually occur later: 50% in the middle of the FO-LO strip, 25% at first or at the end. I'll wait...

[CesstuSvu]

Maybe the answer was yes... to see what happens in the hour or so...

[CesstuSvu]

I screwed up not taking the long in GJ. I was having dinner and I was guided by the later chances of reversal. I didn�t consider the day unusual. So I went in short for FOMO...

[CesstuSvu]

It's not going as well as I expected... I've got a stop post and an optimistic TP in case the price goes off. I'm going to keep an eye on this operation and manage manually.

[CesstuSvu]

I exhausted mental capital by FOMO. Less benefit and feeling of wanting to close ahead of time. Bad combination.

[CesstuSvu]

Stop at break-even too soon. The key is to nail the entrance. Still, the setbacks are part of the game.

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Bad entry, got me out in BE with some crumbs... and bad closure. I could have picked up $400.

[CesstuSvu]

I'm tired and I'm going to bed...

[CesstuSvu]

Oh, mother...

[CesstuSvu]

GJ and GU closed at the top of the day, with ranks higher than normal in the last 10 days. When that happens, there is usually a regression in the Asian session. I am not going to operate it. Yesterday I expected a reversal but I did not operate. Several reasons: it was earlier than I expected, I was mentally exhausted by the GJ short, I saw the reversal during dinner and did not take it. I did not pursue the price, I stayed out and assumed there would be a continuation. That assumption cost me $1,300. And it was the fifth bassist day followed! That does not happen often...

[CesstuSvu]

It was a perfectly operable move that I didn't take...

[CesstuSvu]

Preparing dinner and I just got here from the doctor with N. Too busy to explain. Short and short.

[CesstuSvu]

I screwed up with the second entry in GJ. GU was fine. I am still multitasking and with Larry Williams� phrase in mind: �big days bring small days.� I wondered if we would see a big move. Anyway, I closed with the idea of not losing what I had, and still taking care of my patient. For three minutes I missed another $600...

[CesstuSvu]

Too tired to make it right. I'm going to sleep.

[CesstuSvu]

Oh, my God, I fell asleep with a pending order within the range, and I forgot, and Larry Williams' appointment didn't apply today, and I thought so, I have orders pending with 20 and 50 TP stops out of range, to activate them quickly if necessary, what could go wrong?

[CesstuSvu]

I tried to recover the $1,700 of loss with a reverse operation in Asia. I took it late and had to pay rollover. I had to remove the stop in the day shift for the crazy spread. It almost took me out when I tested the 50 line. Now it�s going well and I have the stop at BE, although I suspect it was very soon...

[CesstuSvu]

Out in BE. Two words summarize it: "Bad entry".

[CesstuSvu]

Short in GU at 79 and GJ in round number. GBP news in 23 minutes can define everything...

[CesstuSvu]

I'll put a stop on BE before the news, and if they get me out, I'll leave it there for today.

[CesstuSvu]

In 5 hours, BOE guys decide. No changes are expected, but better protect the capital and avoid bullet train surprises. I say it as a former client of Alpari UK, who fell after the SNB announcement. That said, looking for long GJ and maybe GU...

[CesstuSvu]

I came in late (for talking here)

[CesstuSvu]

I'm losing tickets because I'm busy... in the kitchen.

[CesstuSvu]

Tonight I got distracted with everything but what I owed: the chart. GU and GJ offered manual entries, but between taking care of my patient, preparing dinner and checking other things, I let go of the best of the day. It wasn�t a lack of signals, it was a lack of focus. And of course, when you go back to the chart hoping to find the perfect entry it�s already late. The price went away and you stay watching how what could be was not. Again, remember that being in front of the chart is not the same as being present in the trading.

[CesstuSvu]

Today it was time to assume reality: when you are not 100%, better not to operate. GJ gave me a clear entry right into the retest of the weekly level, but I doubted. The doubt is expensive in this game. The entry would have been clean, without noise, with validation in M15 and volume accompanying. But I did not... doubt, and when I finally cheered up, the train had already left. Annotated lesson, again.

[CesstuSvu]

I started to analyze the weekly ranges and realized that I am making many assumptions without validating with data. If the average of the weekly movement has not been fulfilled and the direction is in favor of trend, why the hell do I keep looking for forced reversals? It�s like wanting to stop a truck with my hands. This is not intuition, this is statistics. And today I didn�t use it well.

[CesstuSvu]

Today�s entrance was rushed. I went ahead for fear of losing the movement, when the price had not even shown clear rejection. Result: an entry with bad timing, without validation, and with an unnecessary stop. It�s not the first time that craving plays a bad game for me. The market does not reward impatience, punish it with surgical precision. I have to trust the plan again, not anxiety.

[CesstuSvu]

Today I played it with an entry in GJ that had no fundamentals. The reason? Simple: I saw an enveloping candle in M5 and thought that that was enough. Spoiler: it is not. It was a reaction movement, not of conviction. And the market responded with its typical slap to the impulsives: it took me out with losses and left me seeing how afterwards the movement did, but already without me.

[CesstuSvu]

I am tired of my own mediocrity at the exits. I enter well, manage the risk, but at the time of closing the operation I become a disaster. Either I leave early or I let run too much. Today I happened with GU: +45 pipes floating, without reason to doubt... and instead of insure, I stayed waiting for the miracle of +80. Results? I closed with +7 for fear that I would return to the point of entry. Another victory that did not know anything.

[CesstuSvu]

The day began with a perfect entry into the liquidity zone. Everything was going well until I decided to operate a second time only out of greed. The price had already made the expected journey and I wanted more. The second entry was against logic, without structure, without volume accompanying... only pure greed. The market reminded me quickly who commands. And no, it is not me.

[CesstuSvu]

Today I can say that I operated as I should have. I analyzed calmly, validated with context and managed the risk well. GJ gave me a clean swing and I took advantage of it. Sometimes it is enough not to do nonsense for the result to arrive alone. It is not magic, it is discipline. The hard thing is to keep it every day.

[CesstuSvu]

Today the market did me a favor: it didn�t move. So, at least, I didn�t lose money. When there�s no clear direction, the best thing is not to operate. But of course, the ego whispers: �You could have gotten something out with a quick scalping.� Yes, of course. And I could have also burst the account for wanting to be smarter than the market. Today, I won for doing nothing.

[CesstuSvu]

I took the entry into GU because the structure was screaming for it. Confirmation by volume, rupture with intent and clean retreat. The TP was modest, but effective. Not every day you win big. The important thing is that the process was correct. If I repeat that 100 times, I will not lack food at the table.

[CesstuSvu]

Today I understood that operating with distractions is like driving drunk. The head is not where it should be. And in my case, that translated into a poorly located entrance, with an absurd stop and no exit plan. If I do not have the concentration to operate clearly, I better close the graph and I dedicate myself to something else. The market does not forgive lack of focus.

[CesstuSvu]

I tried a new technique today, adapted to M1. And it didn�t work. The reason? Not because the system is bad, but because I don�t master it. I jumped on my head without having done the previous job. Now it�s time to go back to the backtest, adjust parameters and understand the context in which it works. If I don�t study well, any strategy will just be an excuse to lose money.

[CesstuSvu]

I did what I had to do: I waited, validated, executed and went out with profit. And yet, I feel weird. Why? Because I didn�t get excited. It seems that my mind is so used to suffering in the market that when everything goes well, it doesn�t digest. I�ll have to learn to enjoy good trading without needing adrenaline.

[CesstuSvu]

GU moved exactly as I anticipated, but I didn�t go in. Why? Because I hesitated. Because �and if not� he beat me. That�s the worst thing about technical analysis: when you�re right, but you don�t have the courage to act. Today I won in analysis and lost in execution. History�s Moral: the one who doesn�t operate, doesn�t charge.

[CesstuSvu]

GJ bounced right in my area, but it didn�t give me time to put the order. By adjusting a stupid indicator, I lost the best entry of the day. Sometimes we are our worst enemies. Between so many tools, we forget the basics: look at the price and act. Today I distracted myself with the accessory and let go of the essentials.